Predicting the Subsequent President: The Keys to the White Home

Within the days after Donald Trump’s surprising victory on election night time 2016, The New York Occasions, CNN, and different main media shops reached out to one of many few pundits who had appropriately predicted the result, Allan J. Lichtman. Whereas many election forecasters base their findings completely on public opinion polls, Lichtman appears on the underlying fundamentals which have pushed each presidential election since 1860. Utilizing his 13 historic elements or “keys” (4 political, seven efficiency, and two persona), that decide the result of presidential elections, Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. Within the up to date 2020 version of this traditional textual content, Lichtman applies the keys to each presidential election since 1860 and reveals readers the present state of the 2020 race. In doing so, he dispels a lot of the thriller behind electoral politics and challenges many conventional assumptions. An indispensable useful resource for political junkies!